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Recently, an article on the network "Dongguan:" Eye of the Storm "in the world factory" extremely strong, so Dongguan once again become the focus of public attention. Some netizens said that since the second half of this year, all kinds of attention to the most comprehensive article in Dongguan, the most objective and most impartial an analysis article. Previously, a number of one-sided media coverage of business failures, so many people to look at Dongguan in the form of smoke and mirrors the current situation.
International financial turmoil in the end to what kind of impact, Dongguan and opportunities? How to see the current economic situation? Feel the pulse of the financial turmoil than the first in Dongguan, what should do? Business, civil society, academics, government own rhetoric, but the "crisis" in the "machine" is the general consensus of all walks of life. Newspaper today launched "against - Dongguan address the financial crisis," a series of reports, full pulse of the international financial turmoil, the economic situation in Dongguan, analyze all levels of government, industry response, please for your attention.
The current situation: "danger" in the more "machine"
Company: Media dampened business confidence
Perspective: media coverage played a role in fueling the hurt business confidence, if you close down due to lack of confidence and close, it would be very unfortunate.
Li Chunyong, Kingsun Deputy General Manager, heard friends say "business closure due to financial crisis," they thought it was funny: "Originally, business failures are a normal market phenomenon, but also the behavior of corporate self-regulation."
Why do so many people concerned about business failures? He believes that media coverage played a role in fueling the hurt business confidence, if the closed due to lack of confidence in the wind, it would be very unfortunate.
In fact, Dongguan enterprises that do not get stuck unlikely. Dongguan Foreign Investment Enterprises Association conducted a special survey found that enterprises are facing difficulties, in addition to the background of this global recession, the comprehensive look at three reasons: Bank credit crunch, foreign orders plummeted, the frequency applied confining the New Deal.
Although more compact than the previous day, but leave the company immediately closed after all, is the minority. The director of a Hong Kong-owned handbag says a lot more than a dozen foreign-invested enterprises take root in Dongguan two decades, had his own local business as Dongguan, although the current difficult point but still can Ting Ting, Ting passed will usher in Xintiandi. "This time no one will not easily make their businesses closed, unless it is unscrupulous, poorly managed."
Most companies said that despite the current difficulties, but the "crisis" in the more "machine." Hengli an electronics factory to spend millions this year, modern office building construction; Zhangmutou a cosmetics company called the crisis a positive impact on them, you can use the opportunity to "eat" more market share, 60% sales growth this year is expected to increase next year more than 50% ... ...
Folk: Dongguan industry is not beating
Perspective: the closure of most small businesses, unknown companies in the industry have a higher status to the few.
Recent international crude oil prices and raw material prices, the full decline, coupled with the introduction of the central series of stimulus will bring opportunities to the enterprises in Dongguan.
Because a thousand words net Wen, Peng Qing Road, Dongguan, quickly became an Internet star. He believes that the current financial crisis is a process of Ebb Tide, a group of no benefit and morality, pollution, poor business environment will certainly be close. Moreover, the closure of most small businesses, unknown companies in the industry have a higher status to the few.
Based on this, he judged that existing business failures Buzhi Yu shake the industrial base in Dongguan, Dongguan make a real beating in the collapse of the electronics industry cluster, is Taiwan's loosening of the whole.
According to statistics, electronics industry accounted for 52% of industrial output in Dongguan, but the high rate of industry supporting more than 95% of the parts can be installed for in Dongguan. Lu Qing Peng said, as long as the use of good industrial clusters, and the Taiwanese electronics industry overall is not loose, Dongguan, no serious crisis.
The facts also show that the current is affected by all the larger labor-intensive enterprises characterized. Moreover, the recent international crude oil prices and raw material prices, the full decline, coupled with the introduction of the central series of stimulus will bring opportunities to the enterprises in Dongguan.
Scholar: This is the best time to adjust
Perspective: the case of business failures, in fact, far from the outside world thought that bad, so far, damage is mainly financial and other deep-virtual economy, on the real economy has not significantly affected.
Order to win we can not go past the line, which depends on the quality of the product mix to win; changes in the external environment is reborn and local businesses the best time for self-adjustment.
Have read much, but there are bearish, familiar with the social and economic development of Dongguan most optimistic experts in Dongguan future prospects. Liqiu Yang, Director of Municipal Party Economic Department, associate professor, recently wrote to the analysis of the current situation on the article in Dongguan, often under the town street, walking business, understand the true situation.
He said the case of business failures, in fact, far from the outside world as bad as thought, so far, damage is mainly financial and other deep-virtual economy, on the real economy has not significantly affected.
And of Dongguan, it continues to grow at a rate of 20% for years, but growth there is always a process of adjustment, now is the time to adjust. Financial crisis is a crisis, an opportunity, in the adjustment, the total number of enterprises will be washed off, it also gives a good business to make room, and now to see who could withstand the strain in the past.
Double-crisis transition strategy proposed and implemented more than two years in Dongguan, raised a lot of thinking, leaving businesses and governments understand the situation - we can not go past the amount of the line to win, but to rely on quality, product mix win; changes in the external environment is reborn and local businesses the best time for self-adjustment.
Government: the difficulties are temporary
Perspective: The affected businesses showed several characteristics: the larger the affected foreign investment, domestic little influence; the export of large, domestic sales of small; labor-intensive high-impact, high-tech type of small; RTHK impact, Europe little effect.
The crisis of the industrial structure adjustment and upgrade of Dongguan is a rare opportunity, the facts have proved that the Government proposed by the forward-looking double-transformation strategy, restructuring of enterprises in the earlier crisis, the stronger the ability to resist risks.
In all mixed views on the situation in the case of Dongguan, Dongguan What is the economic development of the situation? And how to see the current situation? Municipal Committee, Municipal People's Congress Chairman Liu Zhigeng have said many times previously, the overall economic situation in Dongguan, steady growth, despite the financial crisis, but the difficulties are temporary.
According to the analysis, the affected businesses showed several characteristics: the larger the affected foreign investment, domestic little influence; the export of large, domestic sales of small; labor-intensive high-impact, high-tech type of small; RTHK-impact European and American influence small.
Liu Zhigeng had made such a pre-sentence: Next year will be more difficult than this year, but history shows that every time the face of difficulties of adjustment is a very good opportunity, Dongguan's industrial structure would have been greatly upgraded, for many enterprises, difficulties are only temporary.
Media attention for the number of business failures, a government believe that the number of business failures that only looking at things very objectively, because of the closure of many small, value of small businesses.
Analysts pointed out that the crisis of the industrial structure adjustment and upgrade of Dongguan is a rare opportunity, the facts have proved that the Government proposed by the forward-looking double-transformation strategy, restructuring enterprises in the earlier crisis, the risk was markedly resistant strong.
Economic performance: the overall situation of steady gains across the board against the market trend, some enterprises
Troika have run very fast
Analysis: Despite being the world economy, the impact of unfavorable factors, Dongguan steady overall economic growth, the steady adjustment of industrial structure, macroeconomic forward towards the expected direction.
Economic situation is good in the end, the data can explain a lot of problems. Government announced Oct. 27 the first three quarters of economic operation. Although the world economy suffered negative factors, Dongguan steady overall economic growth, industrial structure adjustment steadily, toward the expected direction of macro-economic progress.
The publication of various types of data, the city completed the first three quarters of GDP 273.455 billion yuan, an increase of 15.1%. The first three quarters of industrial output value of 467.325 billion yuan more than the scale, an increase of 8.1%. It should be noted that the output value of 364.605 billion yuan of foreign capital-based economy, an increase of 7.9%, and no significant decline. Eight large-scale output value of 298.513 billion yuan pillar industry, an increase of 8.4%. User "My name is Butterfly," described as "relatively stable, Dongguan electronics industry" has been confirmed - Communications equipment, computers and other electronic equipment manufacturing output value of 122.21 billion yuan, an increase of 8.3%.
Troika have run very fast, spending more is a 22.7% increase in red in the top. The first three quarters of total retail sales of 62.462 billion yuan of social consumer goods, an increase of 22.7%. Dongguan rumored return of the outside workers, but the first three quarters of retail sales statistics are still out of the wholesale and retail trade reached 54.061 billion yuan, an increase of 23.5%. Catering industry retail sales have reached 8.396 billion yuan, an increase of 17.3%.
First three quarters of the province's largest export growth
Analysis: The total exports 49.819 billion U.S. dollars, up by 17.3%, an increase higher than the overall level of imports and exports, the biggest in Guangdong.
Dongguan, good or bad economic conditions, exports have to look at. Despite the shrinking trend in the international order there, but the data in the first three quarters of total imports and exports 87.925 billion U.S. dollars, an increase of 15.4%. Total amount of 49.819 billion U.S. dollars of exports, up 17.3%, an increase higher than the overall level of imports and exports, the biggest in Guangdong. First three quarters of the city's actual utilization of foreign capital (New Scope) $ 2,102,000,000, an increase of 18.6%.
First three quarters of total investment in fixed assets, completed 59.882 billion yuan, an increase of 15.5%. Among them, the private economic investment in fixed assets of 22.942 billion yuan, an increase of 37.3%. Even "very depressed" real estate, and investment in the first three quarters achieved 17.509 billion yuan, an increase of up to 33.9%.
From the first three quarters of fiscal revenue in Dongguan of view, from 46.471 billion yuan of revenue in Dongguan, an increase of 16.8%, 22.2% increase over the first half decreased by 5.4 percentage points; fiscal revenue (New Scope) 40.187 billion yuan, 20.2%, 25.7% increase over the first half fell by 5.5 percentage points; local budget general revenue 15.884 billion yuan, an increase of 16.0%. Total amount of 41.557 billion yuan industrial and commercial tax revenue, an increase of 19.9%. The most important revenue land fees, taxes and processing charges. Additional fee of land in the context of the real estate market downturn was significantly reduced, but did not open up new taxes in the case of taxes and the "three to fill a" fairly stable relative proportion of processing charges, which also disproved enterprises in Dongguan remained stable overall.
Metabolism of normal business
Analysis: The problems facing businesses mainly in order to reduce raw material prices, production costs increase and so on, labor-intensive, processing trade enterprises as well as the U.S. market enterprises export zones influenced by the external environment, IT-led industries slightly affected.
There are data from the business sector. 9 at the end, the city's registered private enterprises in 472,600 households, increased by 4.4% over the previous year. Which the private sector increased by 13.1%, much higher than the closure of the number of enterprises in Dongguan have been new blood in the circulatory system into the enterprise, maintain normal metabolism.
Business failures of concern for the topic of the outside world, Municipal Committee, Municipal People's Congress Liu Zhigeng director of Central Television in an interview that the 1-September Dongguan number of 627 business failures, and in previous years, rather, closure of enterprises accounted for only 4.2% of the number of , involving an amount of $ 720,000,000. Media can not just look at this figure, but also to see the investment situation, "Dongguan January to September this year, the new foreign investment is still more than 2 billion U.S. dollars." Entering and exiting between the feed is greater than that, Dongguan is stable and no large-scale social collapse of the so-called surge.
Liu Zhigeng said that through the research found that enterprises are facing the problem was concentrated in fewer orders, raw material prices, production costs increase and so on, labor-intensive, processing trade enterprises as well as the U.S. market enterprises export zones influenced by the external environment , IT-led industries affected is relatively small.
Adverse economic gains across the board some enterprises
Analysis: Samsung, Civil News, Delta, East together, Lite, and Kyocera of Japan and other large electronics companies to maintain a stable operation.
Foreign Investment Enterprises Association had previously conducted a survey among member companies. Affected by rising raw material prices, RMB appreciation and rising labor costs and other factors, the overall cost of the industry in Dongguan increased 30-40%, 20-25% overall decline in consolidated profit in the fourth quarter, down by 15-20% of customer orders.
But the Foreign Investment Enterprise Association LEUNG Wai Ho told reporters in a separate "enterprise development intention advice" survey, "determined to take root in Dongguan," the total number of enterprises accounted for 71.13% return, select the "relocation" and accounted for 23.53%, " off "and accounted for 5.63%. This shows that more than Qicheng of companies hope to save themselves through the "winter" to continue the development in Dongguan.
Although European and American markets by the impact of the subprime crisis shrink, but there are still many enterprises adverse economic gains across the board. Samsung in 2005 and 2006, carried on industrial adjustment and upgrading. After completion of the transformation and upgrading Samsung sales has not dropped, and anti-increases. As the largest consumer electronics ASUS foundry, Liaobu Civil News Digital Camera 12 million annual units. Municipal Committee, Vice City, visit the Yangtze River by the end of October Ling Quan hearing, company officials said, next year plans to expand the plant, said output of 20 million units, which means that each camera has a 5 is made of the Civil Information. Delta, East together, Lite, and Kyocera of Japan and other large electronics companies have also maintained a steady run.
There are some SMEs have better survival. Wah Hong computer to desktop computer chassis as the main product, the company boldly fight, take the high road, the price of a high-end mini-chassis 20 on top of the price of an ordinary case, the products sell well in Korea, Japan, the Middle East, in the "winter" like to live was wonderful.
Village Economy:
Opportunities in the New Year Challenge
"Property Economy" faces new challenges
Analysis: egalitarianism led the villagers to varying degrees, independent loss of entrepreneurship and enterprise; present, many villages (communities) it is necessary to develop the economy, but also management of society, became a "super-government", the cost of considerable social management, but also weaken their own efficiency.
Longan Humen in 1979 from rural villages to set up the first "three to fill a" business since the village of Dongguan's economy has experienced the household contract responsibility system, the collective economy and the three stages of the shareholding system reform, financial resources and the town formed a " third of the world "pattern.
According to statistics, the rural collective economy of Dongguan in 2007 reached 108.8 billion yuan of total assets, net income of 18.5 billion disposable income of farmers 60% of the income from the collective economy, the rural social managed funds are provided mainly by the rural collective economy, the rural collective economic support of the Half the Sky, Dongguan's economy.
Looking back to the calendar, Dongguan hand holding the top of the village economy of land, real estate rental form the economic resource supply, hand holding the hotel, entertainment and other terminal service economy. However, based on the "Property Economy" and "rent economy" based on the rural collective economy is suffering from a new round of challenges.
The morning of July 14 this year, the town of Dongguan Municipal Party (Street) were young cadres training course for economic cooperation, Dongguan reform of rural stock, launched a special "Controversy", the problem straight pendulum table:
Egalitarianism. The average per capita allocation of shares, per share, students do not increase, not reduce death, quantitative cure to the people, but also cure the "egalitarian", varying degrees of autonomy led to the villagers the loss of entrepreneurial spirit and initiative.
Relevant statistics show that the collective economy in 2007 capital gains rate from 9.9% in 1999 to 7.5%, 167 village collective economic revenue, 237 villages in income over expenditure, the development of collective economy is facing increasingly difficult more heavy. This year, subject to various internal and external factors, village economic pressures.
Rectitude. It is understood that many of the village (community) it is necessary to develop the economy, but also management of society, became a "super-government", the cost of considerable social management, but also undermined their effectiveness. Gengrang discomfort that some villagers, village cadres system of three-year term, easily lead to their investment decisions, "myopic" behavior.
Growth in public expenditure
Analysis: If the dividend is not linked to income growth in the future, in order to guarantee the development of the accumulation and response for the follow-up to prepare for next year's difficulties, is not an easy task.
"Last year, the occupancy rate in a rented house at around 80-90% this year, only 70%." Fu Road, Dalang Community demand, said party secretary Chen Huanming, affected by the external environment, the village's private economy, plant property income, rental earnings subject to different degrees of Dengjun.
Pressure not only this, the village income comes mainly from property, in the "source" of the affected cases, on the other hand, the village public spending, welfare spending a lot of anti-growth, a light sanitation to more than 80 million more than last year . Obviously felt the pressure of the pursuit of wealth is not the only way the community. Many villages reflect different levels of public expenditure growth.
According to the survey, the village cadres, the most troublesome issues facing the first reduction in income, and second dividends. To reduce the dividend is not likely, soon put the same dividend growth rate can not, handle not easily lead to instability.
Recently, the departments concerned, the first half of the city's rural dividend of 20% over last year. If the dividend is not linked to income growth, the future, in order to guarantee the development of the accumulation and response to follow-up to prepare for next year's difficulties, is not an easy task.
Dividend growth rate is slowing at the same time, in fact, should build capacity and capital and benefits by a combination of shares of stock system, the original collective shares sold to individuals, operators, so that diversified shareholding structure, diversified shareholders. Or by way of raising social capital, the equity from the transformation of welfare to the economy, mobilize the enthusiasm of the operators.
At the same time, to cancel the village (community) the functions of economic development, namely, funding for public services, municipal and town levels of government co-ordination, rather than borne by economic cooperatives. Collective economic burden of social management without the cost of management to urban communities mode, the village-level economic organizations can be more thorough, more dynamic.
Each new tactics to deal with difficulties
Analysis: Currently, the village is concerned, do everything possible to make investment, still top priority and make the greatest advantages to the introduction of projects and enterprises settled; the same time, public expenditure, especially non-productive expenditure.
Some analysts pointed out that enterprises in Dongguan have Qicheng in towns and villages level, it can be said town and village in Dongguan stable is stable. Different levels of economic decline in the village, the villagers how to make income, the village collective economy to grow? Liu Zhigeng secretary repeatedly stressed that people must be stable, steady business, stable income.
Currently, the village is concerned, do everything possible to make investment, still top priority and make the greatest advantages to the introduction of projects and enterprises settled; the same time, public expenditure, especially non-productive expenditure.
Investigation, reporters found that many villages had a positive response. The pursuit of wealth way above the community, this year, continue to introduce high-quality projects, investment shifted from investment selection, a large number of high-quality enterprises have settled down, while integrating fragmented land, economic development offices, to effectively enhance the resistance.
The one hand, strict control of the village church is non-productive expenditure, the other great shops in the old-style plants for transformation;
Shilong village cadres new dimension, one by one to visit enterprises, to understand the production problems, to do their part to help businesses take root development;
Some of the village for business development firm, a joint venture to build factories and businesses to share the risk ... ...
The face of difficulties, leaving their village to consider carefully the development of positioning and strategy. Fung Wong Village in the town adjacent to the town center, there is a vast protected area of agricultural land, natural and historic cultural resources are very abundant. Recently, the village went to the Chengdu organize relevant personnel to visit Trinity Huaxiang mode, trying to develop suburban ecological recreation, tourism, the new path, with the urban and rural development opportunities for the villagers and village economy at the same time income, to achieve new development.
Crisis, village in the thinking, planning.
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